Atletico CP 0-2 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.6
Over
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.32
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
20.04.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
25.02.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
0-2
AWAY Varzim
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim beat Atletico CP 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico CP had 64% of the ball to Varzim's 36%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico CP and 1.00 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Varzim?

Atletico CP 0-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 45%, draw 28%, Varzim 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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