Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mönchengladbach v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mönchengladbach 1-1 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Mönchengladbach and Mainz 05 traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We leaned Mönchengladbach at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, Mainz 05 saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.70 to 2.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mönchengladbach against 1.83 for Mainz 05.
Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Result & Final Score
Mönchengladbach 1 - 1 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 43%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5 went the other way.