Lübeck 3-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
0.92/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.32
-37% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
12.04.2025 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 2-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
24.02.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-4 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-4 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck saw off Phönix Lübeck 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lübeck and 1.17 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Lübeck 3-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 43%, draw 27%, Phönix Lübeck 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lübeck), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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