VfB Oldenburg 4-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+0.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.18
+23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
14.03.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-2 HT 2-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.08.2015 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg ran out comfortable winners over St. Pauli II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.33 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?

VfB Oldenburg 4-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 65%, draw 18%, St. Pauli II 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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