Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Genesis PN v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Genesis PN vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Marathon squeezed past Genesis PN 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Genesis PN against 1.50 for Marathon.
Genesis PN vs Marathon Result & Final Score
Genesis PN 0 - 1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 20%, draw 27%, Marathon 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.