Matagalpa 4-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -34%
1.85/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.25
+30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2026 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-3 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
06.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-2 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-2 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
15.09.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
18.03.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa ran out comfortable winners over Walter Ferretti 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Matagalpa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matagalpa and 1.00 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Matagalpa 4-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 35%, draw 29%, Walter Ferretti 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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