Krasnodar 2-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-1.0pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.99/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.81
+11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.5 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.03 xG 1.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
398 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
24.04.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-2 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
21.10.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2-2
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.33 xG 0.85
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
317 Passes 136
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
51 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar and Baltika Kaliningrad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Krasnodar carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 65% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 35%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.33 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 1.67 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Krasnodar 2-2 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 60%, draw 19%, Baltika Kaliningrad 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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