Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Makhachkala v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals
Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Makhachkala 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics
Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Makhachkala had 35% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.21 to 1.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zenit St. Petersburg's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Makhachkala and 2.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.
What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Makhachkala 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 23%, draw 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.