Manisa FK 1-0 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.71
-32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.9 Crosses 6.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Serik Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.97 xG 0.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
237 Passes 399
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Serik Spor Serik Spor 0-1 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-0
AWAY Serik Spor
3.29 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
462 Passes 320
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK edged past Serik Spor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 57% of the ball to Serik Spor's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 3.29 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manisa FK's control.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Serik Spor?

Manisa FK 1-0 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 51%, draw 21%, Serik Spor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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