Miami FC 0-3 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
0.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.64
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
14.1 Crosses 16.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
291 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-0 HT 2-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
09.07.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
24.04.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-1 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-3
AWAY Phoenix Rising
2.51 xG 2.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising swept aside Miami FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Miami FC had 50% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.51 to 2.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

Miami FC 0-3 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 34%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Under 2.5
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