Colorado Springs 4-1 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.60
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.0 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
13.04.2025 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
20.10.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
30.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
27.08.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
4-1
AWAY Monterey Bay
3.23 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
264 Passes 193
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs swept aside Monterey Bay 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 55% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 45%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.23 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 0.83 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Colorado Springs 4-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 61%, draw 20%, Monterey Bay 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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