Colorado Springs 2-1 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.64/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.48
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.6 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
405 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
20.10.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
30.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
27.08.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
29.05.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 4-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
2-1
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.61 xG 2.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past Monterey Bay 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 52% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.61 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterey Bay.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Colorado Springs 2-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 57%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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