El Paso Locomotive 2-3 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 33% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.32/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
+6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.6 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Antonio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
297 Passes 144
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
10.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-2 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
06.06.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
13.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
11.06.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.07.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2-3
AWAY San Antonio
1.93 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
420 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio nicked a narrow win over El Paso Locomotive 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day San Antonio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 64% of the ball to San Antonio's 36%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.93 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured El Paso Locomotive.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.50 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?

El Paso Locomotive 2-3 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 40%, draw 27%, San Antonio 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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