Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2 HT 0-0
Manchester United
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.98
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.69
2-3 Goals
39%
2.27
4-5 Goals
25%
2.41
6+ Goals
11%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.43
1/2
6%
21.35
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
17%
6.47
X/2
8%
6.05
X/X
11%
6.54
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
14%
3.12
2/X
9%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-18.8pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.75/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
+32% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
17.9 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Manchester United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
431 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-3 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
04.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
23.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United FAK
07.08.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
07.05.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
15.02.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
AWAY Manchester United
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
495 Passes 399
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United got the better of Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 55% of the ball to Manchester United's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.67 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 44%, draw 28%, Manchester United 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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