Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Nottingham Forest
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNCL
3-1
HT 3-0
Nottingham Forest
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Burnley
İNCL
Burnley 1-2 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest edged past Burnley 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Burnley had 73% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 27%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.21 to 1.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burnley and 0.67 for Nottingham Forest.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Nottingham Forest?
Burnley 1-2 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Nottingham Forest?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burnley 32%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.