Motagua 2-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.29
Over
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN The Market 17%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.93/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
+1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
06.04.2026 Motagua Motagua 3-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
12.02.2026 Genesis PN Genesis PN 0-5 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
05.10.2025 Motagua Motagua 4-3 HT 3-1 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
08.05.2025 Genesis PN Genesis PN 1-4 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
03.02.2025 Genesis PN Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
11.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
REVIEW Motagua vs Genesis PN
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Motagua came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Genesis PN 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.56, about 64%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.17 a game for Motagua against 1.17 for Genesis PN.

Motagua vs Genesis PN Result & Final Score

Motagua 2-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Motagua vs Genesis PN Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Motagua 58%, draw 26%, Genesis PN 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
19 May 2026
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