Real Espana 1-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 May 2026

Real Espana
1-1 HT 0-1
Marathon
📅19/05/2026 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Real Espana vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.75
Over
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Real Espana v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon The Market 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.61/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.41
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3

Real Espana vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
03.04.2026 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
09.02.2026 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
16.10.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.08.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
REVIEW Real Espana vs Marathon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Real Espana and Marathon with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Real Espana at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.92, about 52% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. At 1.75 (~57%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 0.50 for Marathon.

Real Espana vs Marathon Result & Final Score

Real Espana 1-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Espana vs Marathon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 46%, draw 22%, Marathon 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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