Marathon vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Real Espana edged past Marathon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for Real Espana.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Real Espana?
Marathon 0-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Real Espana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marathon 54%, draw 24%, Real Espana 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.