Marathon 0-0 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.26
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.08.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
03.11.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-3 HT 0-2 Marathon Marathon HON
25.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and Real Espana played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Real Espana?

Marathon 0-0 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marathon 45%, draw 29%, Real Espana 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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