Real Espana 2-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.36/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.00
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Marathon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.02.2026 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
16.10.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.08.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
03.11.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-3 HT 0-2 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana saw off Marathon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Marathon?

Real Espana 2-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 39%, draw 25%, Marathon 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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