Breidablik 1-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
74%
-19.7pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.04/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.86
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +48%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.3 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Vestri
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 1.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
480 Passes 243
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 1-2 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZK
27.04.2025 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
13.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
03.03.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-0
AWAY Vestri
1.63 xG 0.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
481 Passes 227
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik squeezed past Vestri 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Breidablik had 64% of the ball to Vestri's 36%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.63 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Breidablik and 1.00 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Vestri?

Breidablik 1-0 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 54%, draw 24%, Vestri 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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