Grazer AK 2-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 16%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.55/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/3.99
+27% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV HAZ
24.11.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-3 HT 1-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
12.11.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.09.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-5 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
11.03.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
22.08.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK beat Kapfenberger SV 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grazer AK as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Grazer AK and 1.00 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV?

Grazer AK 2-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 59%, draw 23%, Kapfenberger SV 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grazer AK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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