Valencia vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
HAZ
Valencia 1-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon nicked a narrow win over Valencia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valencia had 40% of the ball to CD Castellon's 60%, shots finished 6-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Valencia and 0.50 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Valencia vs CD Castellon?
Valencia 1-2 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valencia 43%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.