Valencia 0-0 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
7%
8.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 28% vs market 17.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 21%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.01/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/3.09
-49% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
03.08.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia HAZ
POST-MATCH Valencia vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia and CD Castellon fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Valencia vs CD Castellon?

Valencia 0-0 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valencia 50%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valencia)
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