Aguilas Doradas 2-3 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -3%
1.20/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.03
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.5 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.09.2024 Junior Junior 3-4 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
09.03.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
30.11.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.11.2023 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
16.07.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-3
AWAY Junior
0.51 xG 1.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
131 Passes 306
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior squeezed past Aguilas Doradas 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Junior found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 34% of the ball to Junior's 66%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.51 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Junior?

Aguilas Doradas 2-3 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 40%, draw 31%, Junior 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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