Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Deportes Tolima 0-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe edged past Deportes Tolima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 70% of the ball to Santa Fe's 30%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.21 — on chances, Deportes Tolima could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima 0-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 45%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.