Akron 1-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.61
X/2
13%
5.98
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.45/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.49
-30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.5 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.56 xG 1.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
251 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 Akron Akron RUS
03.11.2024 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.05.2021 Akron Akron 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
07.11.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.65 xG 0.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
251 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron and Krylya Sovetov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Akron had 49% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 51%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Akron and 1.25 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Akron vs Krylya Sovetov?

Akron 1-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Akron 39%, draw 25%, Krylya Sovetov 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Akron), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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