ND Primorje 3-2 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.53/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.23
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Domzale
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
01.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
16.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
3-2
AWAY Domzale
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje edged past Domzale 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ND Primorje as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 56% of the ball to Domzale's 44%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ND Primorje and 0.75 for Domzale.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Domzale?

ND Primorje 3-2 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Primorje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 42%, draw 25%, Domzale 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ND Primorje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ND Primorje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
19 Jul 2025
21:15 Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura Analysis →