Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
2.18/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.57
-5% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mura
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
24.11.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.09.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
05.05.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Mura
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana edged past Mura 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 56% of the ball to Mura's 44%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 62%, draw 21%, Mura 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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