Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.23
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mura
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.09.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
05.05.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
03.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1
AWAY Mura
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 73% of the ball to Mura's 27%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.33 for Mura.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 57%, draw 25%, Mura 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
12 Mar 2025
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