Mura 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 67%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.91/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.68
-6% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
24.11.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.09.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
05.05.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and Olimpija Ljubljana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Mura had 29% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 71%, shots finished 4-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mura and 1.50 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Mura 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mura 23%, draw 24%, Olimpija Ljubljana 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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