Smiltene 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 27%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.87/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.35
-19% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.11.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 2-2 HT 1-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
06.07.2025 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
28.09.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 3-3 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
25.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 0-4 HT 0-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
07.10.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
03.06.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 5-1 HT 3-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene squeezed past Rezekne / BJSS 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Smiltene as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smiltene had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Smiltene and 1.50 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Smiltene 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 59%, draw 21%, Rezekne / BJSS 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smiltene) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smiltene) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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