Smiltene 2-2 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.64
Draw
12%
3.94
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
57%
+12.0pp
12%
Draw
22%
-9.8pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 25%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.82/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/3.33
-20% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
06.07.2025 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
28.09.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 3-3 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
25.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 0-4 HT 0-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
07.10.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
03.06.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 5-1 HT 3-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene and Rezekne / BJSS shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Smiltene carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Smiltene had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Smiltene and 1.40 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Smiltene 2-2 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 69%, draw 12%, Rezekne / BJSS 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smiltene) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smiltene) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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