Riga Mariners 4-3 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
13%
3.94
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.1pp
13%
Draw
22%
-8.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.69/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.51
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga Mariners
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rigas FS II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.07.2025 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 1-3 HT 0-3 Riga Mariners LET1
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners nicked a narrow win over Rigas FS II 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Rigas FS II?

Riga Mariners 4-3 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 58%, draw 13%, Rigas FS II 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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