JFK Ventspils 1-0 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marupe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.07.2025 Marupe Marupe 1-2 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
15.09.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-3 Marupe Marupe LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils edged past Marupe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 2.00 for Marupe.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Marupe?

JFK Ventspils 1-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 46%, draw 27%, Marupe 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✗ BTTS Yes
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