Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progress / AFA Olaine v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
a 1-1 draw left Progress / AFA Olaine and Leevon / PPK with a point apiece. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leevon / PPK at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (71%) never looked like landing.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.00 for Leevon / PPK.
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Result & Final Score
Progress / AFA Olaine 1 - 1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 17%, draw 19%, Leevon / PPK 64%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5 went the other way.