Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progress / AFA Olaine v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Progress / AFA Olaine and Leevon / PPK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leevon / PPK at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.00 for Leevon / PPK.
What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK?
Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 19%, draw 18%, Leevon / PPK 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5 went the other way.