Tukums II 2-1 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.66/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.08
+13% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Riga FC II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
07.07.2025 Riga FC II Riga FC II 1-0 HT 0-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
26.05.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 0-7 HT 0-1 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
22.07.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 3-2 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II edged past Riga FC II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Riga FC II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Riga FC II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tukums II and 3.67 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Riga FC II?

Tukums II 2-1 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 31%, draw 25%, Riga FC II 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga FC II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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