Cusco FC 4-1 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
62%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.4pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.69/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
-1% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.7 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
18.08.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.03.2025 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-4 HT 2-3 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
15.08.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.03.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
22.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
4-1
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.81 xG 0.56
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
459 Passes 309
34 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC swept aside Alianza Atletico 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.81 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cusco FC and 1.00 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Cusco FC 4-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 66%, draw 19%, Alianza Atletico 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
19 Jul 2026
19:00 Cultural San vs Sport Boys Warnes Analysis →