Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Phoenix Rising 3-2 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising edged past Monterey Bay 3-2 in the USL Championship on 19 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.61.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.17 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Phoenix Rising 3-2 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 50%, draw 20%, Monterey Bay 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.