AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
24.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.29
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
14%
6.47
X/2
14%
4.47
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.04
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.70
+0% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
11.08.2015 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-1
AWAY Cardiff City
0.60 xG 1.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
163 Passes 441
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City squeezed past AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cardiff City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 33% of the ball to Cardiff City's 67%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.60 to 1.50.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City?

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Cardiff City in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 33%, draw 26%, Cardiff City 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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