Odense 3-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
16%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.26
X/2
8%
10.0
X/X
8%
6.12
2/1
5%
19.85
2/2
9%
7.41
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Odense win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
1.58/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.57
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
18.5 Crosses 5.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.63 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
446 Passes 388
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
05.04.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN1
03.11.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-4 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN1
21.08.2024 Odense Odense 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
01.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-1 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
3-2
AWAY FC Fredericia
3.06 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
467 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odense vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense nicked a narrow win over FC Fredericia 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Odense had 59% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 3.06 to 1.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Odense's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Odense and 1.20 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Odense 3-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Odense 60%, draw 19%, FC Fredericia 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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