JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.19
2-3 Goals
34%
2.2
4-5 Goals
25%
2.29
6+ Goals
19%
4.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.2pp
14%
Draw
19%
-5.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.50/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-44% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2025 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 2-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
16.04.2025 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 3-3 HT 3-1 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİK
11.04.2025 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-1 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN3
15.09.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FINY
20.08.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
09.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-1 HT 0-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
POST-MATCH JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. squeezed past JJK Jyvaskyla 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had JJK Jyvaskyla at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JJK Jyvaskyla and 1.50 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a JJK Jyvaskyla win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 64%, draw 14%, KuPS Ak. 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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