Hamburg vs Köln Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.56
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2026 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
02.11.2025 Köln Köln 4-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
18.01.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
02.08.2024 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.01.2023 Köln Köln 4-0 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg HAZ
18.01.2022 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
PREVIEW Hamburg vs Köln
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split Hamburg and Köln in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Hamburg's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Köln's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hamburg against 1.83 for Köln.

Hamburg vs Köln Kick-off Time

Hamburg play Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/09/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Hamburg vs Köln Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Hamburg vs Köln is an Köln win at about 39% probability, priced 2.36 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Hamburg 35%, draw 26%, Köln 39%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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