Kagoshima United 3-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kagoshima United The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Tochigi SC The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
248 Passes 259
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
05.07.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
22.09.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
21.04.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
22.09.2019 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-1 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
REVIEW Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kagoshima United got the better of Tochigi SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.60 for Tochigi SC.

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Result & Final Score

Kagoshima United 3 - 1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 19/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 51%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5
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