Blackpool 1-2 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
16%
4.84
X/2
8%
7.06
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.77
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.46/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.9 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Barnsley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
235 Passes 352
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 3-2 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
05.12.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNTK
30.09.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
26.04.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
25.09.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
27.04.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-2
AWAY Barnsley
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley edged past Blackpool 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blackpool had 55% of the ball to Barnsley's 45%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackpool and 0.83 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Barnsley?

Blackpool 1-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 41%, draw 27%, Barnsley 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5
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