Blackpool 3-2 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.54
X/2
10%
7.23
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
14%
5.13
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.45/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
-7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
272 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.7 Crosses 18.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Barnsley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 354
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNTK
30.09.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
26.04.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
25.09.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
27.04.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
22.12.2018 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
3-2
AWAY Barnsley
1.49 xG 0.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
208 Passes 345
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool nicked a narrow win over Barnsley 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blackpool had 41% of the ball to Barnsley's 59%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Barnsley?

Blackpool 3-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 45%, draw 26%, Barnsley 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool)
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