Northampton Town vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İNTK
4-0
HT 2-0
Exeter City
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
Northampton Town 1-2 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City edged past Northampton Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Exeter City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Northampton Town had 57% of the ball to Exeter City's 43%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.89 to 1.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Northampton Town.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Northampton Town and 0.50 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Exeter City?
Northampton Town 1-2 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 37%, draw 28%, Exeter City 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.