Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
10%
10.75
X/X
13%
5.56
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
8.45
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.54
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.0 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 0.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 285
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
26.04.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-2 HT 0-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
28.08.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
05.04.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
26.09.2020 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
02.04.2018 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.73 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
480 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Portsmouth 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portsmouth at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 58% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 42%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.98 — on chances, Portsmouth could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portsmouth and 1.17 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Wigan Athletic?

Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 48%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portsmouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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