Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İNTK
0-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
2-1
HT 2-1
Port Vale
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
3-2
HT 1-2
Port Vale
İNTK
0-1
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN2
Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers got the better of Port Vale 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 72% of the ball to Port Vale's 28%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 3.03 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.50 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale?
Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 57%, draw 24%, Port Vale 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.