San Miguel 0-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.38
Over
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
40%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
57%
-18.0pp
38%
Draw
28%
+10.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron The Market 18%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.84/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.20
+38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.06.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over San Miguel 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 38% / 22% — and on the day Deportivo Moron made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Deportivo Moron?

San Miguel 0-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 39%, draw 38%, Deportivo Moron 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Miguel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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